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Winning together: 15 by 20 Investor Update Q2 2019 July 24, 2019
Contents Strategy: Winning Together
Commercial: Passion for paint
Operations: Precise processes
Financial: Powerful performance
Investor update Q1 2019
2
Strategy: Winning Together
Winning Together | March 2018
3
A focused Paints and Coatings company
€9.3 bn €1.0 bn €0.8 bn 10.6% 12.6% 34,500
North America
Mature Europe
Emerging Europe
12%
34%
9%
Asia Pacific
revenue
31%
EBITDA EBIT ROS Other regions
ROI employees
South America
5%
9%
All figures are based on year-end 2018, excluding unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital
Revenue by destination 4
Top 3 player with leading positions in large and attractive markets Global paints and coatings by market sector ~€110 billion, 2017 Decorative paints Powder coatings
Protective coatings Wood finishes Vehicle refinish Specialty / plastics Marine coatings Coil coatings Packaging coatings
General Industrial and Other; 14%
Global paints and coatings market ~€110 bn
North America; 10%
Automotive OEM (metal); 7%
AkzoNobel active markets ~€70 bn
2% 3% 3% 4%
30%
6% 7%
7%
8%
AkzoNobel market share ~€10 bn
Automotive OEM (metal) General Industrial / Other
Source: KNG, Internal estimates
Top 3 players ~30% total market Top 20 players ~60% total market Winning Together | March 2018
5
Performance versus peers improved; potential for further improvement remains ROS 15%
AkzoNobel Paints and Coatings
10%
5%
0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: Company data, internal estimates
Winning Together | March 2018
6
Well positioned to accelerate growth and enhance profitability Return on sales1
Return on investment 1
%
% Unallocated corporate cost
15 1.5
Unallocated corporate cost and invested capital
>25
10.6
18.0
8.4
15.0 13.5
25.0
9.4 13.9
2014
2017
2020 guidance²
2014
2017
2020 guidance²
1) ROS% = EBIT/revenue and moving average ROI% = 12 months EBIT/12 months average invested capital 2) Excluding unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital; assumes no significant market disruption
Winning Together | March 2018
7
Winning together: 15 by 20 Passion for Paint
2020 guidance* ROS 15% ROI >25%
Precise processes
Powerful performance
Proud people
*Excluding unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital; assumes no significant market disruption
Winning Together | March 2018
8
Management team in place to deliver
Thierry Vanlancker CEO
Ruud Joosten David Prinselaar Chief Supply Chain Officer Chief Operating Officer
Maarten de Vries CFO
Maëlys Castella Chief Corporate Development Officer
Marten Booisma Chief Human Resources Officer
Isabelle Deschamps General Counsel 9
New fit for purpose structure to increase customer focus and drive efficiency From…
To… Business
Business
Business
Business
SC
Business
Customer Business
SC
Business
Customer Business
SC
Business
Customer Business
SC
Business
Customer Business
Customers
Integrated business planning
Integrated supply chain
Winning Together | March 2018 10
Clear path to deliver on 2020 guidance Integrated Supply Chain Transformation Growth and net price/ mix
Continuous Improvement
10.6%
15%
2020 guidance* ROS 15% ROI >25%
SG&A and RD&I Transformation
Fixed cost inflation
2017
2020
*Excluding unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital; assumes no significant market disruption
Unallocated corporate cost
Winning Together | March 2018 11
Commercial: Passion for paint
Winning Together | March 2018 12
Strong portfolio of businesses with leading positions in all segments Segment
Decorative Paints
Marine and Protective Coatings
Powder Coatings
Industrial Coatings
Automotive and Specialty Coatings
Market size ~€bn, 2017¹
Market growth 2-3%², 2017-20
30 12
8
12
11
1) Excluding ~ €40 billion in regions/segments where we are not present 2) Total market growth (revenue weighted)
Strengths and opportunities Position by revenue
1
• #1/#2 market positions where we play • Strong brands and product portfolio • Leverage global to win local!
revenue from
emerging markets
1
• Marine: consolidated market • Protective: few global players • Global technology leadership
1
• Interpon #1 global brand • Sustainable coatings conversions • Strong product/ technology capabilities
1/2
• Extensive product offering • Strong position with top tier customers • Urbanization and construction growth
2/3
50%
• Growth of emerging market consumers • Leader in digital color
Source: KNG, internal estimate
Winning Together | March 2018 13
Decorative Europe: Winning model to capture benefits in recovering market Largest player in fragmented market
105
AkzoNobel
Peer 1
50% #1 positions 30% #2 positions
Peer 2
Others
Market expected to continue recovery Decorative Paints Europe Market Size Index*
100
95
+2% CAGR 2016-20
90 85 80
Peer 3
Grow market share and improve profitability:
75 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Leverage global to win local!
Build winning brands and leading positions Reduce complexity Leverage scale
Optimize portfolio and route to market
Smart packaging design Global guidelines Local brand assets
Opportunities for consolidation *Source: KNG 2017, internal estimate
Winning Together | March 2018 14
Decorative Asia: continued expansion in highly profitable and fast growing markets
€10bn market
Highly profitable and cash generative (despite lower ASP)
Strong growth drivers
Leveraging global brands and innovation
#1 or #2 positions in
Local expertise and strong customer understanding
many countries
China Growing demand for eco-premium products…
Profitable growth in mass market and project business Leader in sustainability South East Asia
Doubled
Revenue Decorative Paints Asia (€ million)
in 10 years
Developing a successful exterior proposition…
1000
500
0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
… and leveraging best practice from Europe Winning Together | March 2018 15
Marine and Protective Coatings: ongoing restructuring and portfolio rebalancing Rebalancing portfolio for Protective Coatings
Industry headwinds in marine and oil and gas industries 140,000
Oil and gas capital expenditure ($ bn)
120,000
Marine order book CGT*
300 200
100,000
Oil & Gas
2016
2020 Infrastructure, Power, Mining
100
80,000
0
60,000 2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Revenue development Marine and Protective coatings demonstrates lag effect
13%
2%
11%
-5%
Global market leader, defending strong positions -7%
-11%
Focus on value pricing; restructuring ongoing Maintain technology leadership, e.g. Intersleek UV-LED
Source: Clarkson Research. *Compensated gross tonnage
Winning Together | March 2018 16
Powder Coatings: Clear global #1 in fastest growing and highly profitable market AkzoNobel Peer 1 Peer 2
Others
Peer 3
~€8bn market Growth 2x industrial GDP #1 with 2x relative market share
Multiple sources of growth (examples): New applications
Architectural and automotive coatings
Increased capacity
Chengdu – Biggest powder coatings plant in the world
Geographic expansion
Northern and Western India and Western China
Product innovation
OneWheel, Interpon Cr
Bolt-on acquisitions
V.Powdertech, Thailand
Sustainability advantages of powder coatings over liquid coatings: Zero Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) Less waste during application (>95% usage efficiency) Winning Together | March 2018 17
Operations: Precise processes
Winning Together | March 2018 18
One organization with a common way of working and aligned set of targets Leading 15,000 people AkzoNobel Performance System: 123 sites 448 warehouses €250m CAPEX/ yr
ALPS Customer excellence Operational excellence Leading edge technology Note: Total reportable rate (TRR) 1.0 is equivalent to 0.2, in line with OSHA guidelines
2020 targets: Safety TRR 95.5% OTIF (Top quartile)
€120m annual cost savings run rate
2014-17 Winning Together | March 2018 21
2
ALPS Integrated Business Planning +75% Forecast accuracy 95.5% →
98.5% Service (OTIF)
25% Inventory reduction Organization transformation: One operating model
Integrated Business Planning: One end-to-end business process
Top Quartile Performance
Winning Together | March 2018 22
End to end processes Cost of sales
~€5.4bn in 2017
One operating model and Integrated Business Planning
3
Total quality and service excellence
Supplier collaboration
Further ALPS Digitization
Asset network optimization
€200m 2020 annual cost savings by
Resource productivity
in addition to ALPS continuous improvement
Winning Together | March 2018 23
Financial: Powerful performance
Winning Together | March 2018 24
Winning together strategy leverages greater focus to accelerate improvements Passion for Paint
Precise processes
Powerful performance
From…
To…
Decentralized businesses…
Centrally driven sales excellence and margin management…
Differing levels of maturity…
Fragmented process and system landscape…
Simplified ERP and system platform... Integrated end-to-end processes…
Independent businesses with dedicated supply chain…
Lean fit-for-purpose organization…
Many KPIs...
Proud people
Consistent across all businesses…
Diverse cultures… Fragmented incentive schemes…
Laser sharp focus on 15% ROS! One single global team… Aligned incentives… High-performance culture Winning Together | March 2018
25
Transformation plans in place with most projects already being initiated 2017
2018
2019
2020
Sales force effectiveness Margin management Innovation excellence Global Business Services Integrated Business Planning
ERP and systems platform ALPS continuous improvement Fit-for-purpose organization Procurement excellence High performance culture
Career and capability development Core principles Initiate
Implement
Complete
Winning Together | March 2018 26
Clear path to deliver on 2020 guidance Integrated Supply Chain Transformation €200m by 2020
Growth and net price/ mix ~2%/ yr
Continuous Improvement
10.6% Fixed cost inflation ~€100m/ yr
15%
2020 guidance* ROS 15% ROI >25%
SG&A and RD&I Transformation
Key initiatives: Fit-for-purpose organization (€110m in 2018) Sales force effectiveness Innovation excellence Global Business Services ERP and systems platform
2017
2020
*Excluding unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital; assumes no significant market disruption
Unallocated corporate cost
Winning Together | March 2018 27
Updated capital allocation priorities 1. Chemicals separation
Total of €6.5 billion returned to shareholders before end 2019 Clear mandates per (sub)segment and geography
2. Profitable organic growth
Revenue growth ~2% and capital expenditure ~€250m per year Unallocated corporate center costs €140-180m in 2019 and 2020
3. Acquisitions
Strategically aligned and value creating acquisitions
4. Dividend
Stable to rising dividend (€1.80 per share for 2018)
5. Pension liabilities
Cash top-up payments of main UK plans settled (Q1 2019)
6. Balance sheet
Target leverage ratio of Net Debt / EBITDA of 1.0–2.0 by end 2020 Retain strong investment grade credit rating 28
Net debt evolution towards 2020 Net Leverage 1.0x – 2.0x
Net Leverage (5.6x)
Net Debt
Net Leverage 1.7x
Net Cash
Potential for further capital returns to shareholders
✓
✓
✓
✓ (February 2019) (February to end 2019)
(December 2017) (January 2019)
Return of proceeds from Specialty Chemicals
29
Strong bolt-on acquisitions in last 18 months Fabryo
Xylazel
Agreement to acquire Fabryo, becoming the leader in the Romanian decorative paints market
Strengthens our position as a leader in the decorative paints market in Spain and means we are now the leader in the country’s woodcare segment
Colourland Paints
Swire
Strengthens our position as in Malaysia and enhances our global portfolio with a much-loved local brand
Acquisition of minority interest share to obtain full ownership of Chinese JV, enabling strategic flexibility
30
Investor update Q2 2019 July 24, 2019
Operation Night Watch We recently partnered with the Rijksmuseum for one of the most innovative projects in the history of art – the live restoration of Rembrandt’s Night Watch. In a spectacular fusion of old and new, Operation Night Watch will use ground-breaking techniques to preserve the painting for future generations. We’ll also be contributing our color expertise to the historic project.
Agenda Key highlights
Financial review Concluding remarks
Q&A
Investor update | Q2 2019 32
Key highlights
Investor update | Q2 2019 33
Q2 2019 results show continued progress towards Winning together: 15 by 20 strategy Adjusted operating income 36% higher at €305 million (2018: €225 million)
ROS, excluding unallocated costs, increased to 13.7% (2018: 12.1%) Focus on value over volume resulted in price/mix up 5% and 6% lower volumes Transformation on track and delivered €43 million cost savings
€1.5 billion of €2.5 billion share buyback program completed in H1 2019 Acquisition of Mapaero strengthens global position in aerospace coatings
The intended acquisition of Mapaero will improve AkzoNobel’s position in the structural and cabin coating sub-segments and contribute directly towards delivering our 2020 guidance. Investor update | Q2 2019 34
Profit up 36% and ROS* 13.7% driven by pricing initiatives and cost-saving programs Q2 2019:
Revenue
Price/mix
Up 1%
Adjusted EPS
5% higher
85% higher
In constant currencies
ROS*
Adjusted Operating Income
Increased to 13.7% (Q2 2018: 12.1%)
*Excluding unallocated corporate center costs
€1.5 billion shares repurchased in H1 part of €2.5 billion share buyback to be completed by end 2019
Up 36%
Investor update | Q2 2019 35
Winning together: 15 by 20 strategy delivering results and gathering momentum Sales force effectiveness Margin management Innovation excellence
Price/mix increased 5% (versus Q2 2018)
Global Business Services Integrated Business Planning ERP and systems platform
GBS: 18 country transitions complete; 45/120 transitions in progress, to be completed by end 2020
ALPS continuous improvement Fit-for-purpose organization Procurement excellence
Delivered €43m cost savings in the quarter, on track to deliver the next €200m by 2020
High performance culture Career and capability development Core principles
Successfully focused on value over volume
*Excluding unallocated corporate center costs
Agreements signed with all Paint the Future finalists
7/18 ERP integration go lives for 2019
Final purchase price settlement for the sale of Specialty Chemicals Investor update | Q2 2019 36
Dealing with market headwinds EMEA South America
Industrial Coatings
~ China
Foreign exchange
Raw materials
~
Marine and Protective Coatings
~
South East and South Asia
Powder Coatings
Automotive and Specialty Coatings
~ Investor update | Q2 2019 37
Financial review
Investor update | Q2 2019 38
Adjusted operating income 36% higher and revenue up in constant currencies € million
Q2 2018
Q2 2019
Δ%
Δ%CC
Revenue
2,446
2,451
-%
1%
Adjusted EBITDA
285
394
38%
Adjusted operating income
225
305
36%
Operating income
192
308
60%
12.1%
13.7%
9.2%
12.4%
12.2%
13.4%
ROS% excluding unallocated costs ROS%1 ROI%2 excluding unallocated costs
-6
Volumes
1
-1
ROS, excluding unallocated costs, increased to 13.7% (2018: 12.1%)
0 Increase Decrease
5
Price/mix
Volumes 6% lower due to value over volume strategy
Operating income at €308 million included identified items of €3 million positive (2018: €33 million negative)
Revenue development Q2 2019 (%)
1
Price/mix up 5% overall, mainly driven by pricing initiatives
Acquisitions
Other
FX
Total
Impact Decorative Paints China
Note: Other revenue includes service revenue related to services for the Specialty Chemicals business 1ROS% = Adjusted operating income/revenue. 2ROI% = Adjusted operating income of the last 12 months as percentage of average invested capital for Decorative Paints and Performance Coatings. It excludes unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital consistent with our 2020 guidance
Investor update | Q2 2019 39
Pricing initiatives and clear strategic mandates focus on value over volume Decorative Paints
Performance Coatings
Total
Quarterly price/mix development in % year-on-year
11 8 0
4
5
6
4
-3 -3 -3 -5
1
0
0
3
5
7
7
2
-1
Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19
9
7
5
6
6
5
-1 -1 -1 -1
Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19
Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19
Quarterly volume* development in % year-on-year
12
Impact Decorative Paints China
9 3
5
-6 -6
-4
-1 -2 -4 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19
Impact Decorative Paints China
0
1 -4
4 -2 -5 -3
-7 -7 -8 -7
Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19
3 -1
-7
3
-7 -6
-3 -3 -5
Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19
Organic volume development, does not include acquisition impact Investor update | Q2 2019 40
Positive price/mix and cost savings offsetting higher raw material costs Adjusted operating income bridge: Q2 2018 to Q2 2019 Positive impact Negative impact
21
- 33
-1
43
-
114
- 64 -
305
225
Q2 2018 adjusted operating income
FX
Volumes
Price/mix
Raw materials/ Variable cost
OPEX
One-offs and other
Q2 2019 adjusted operating income
Investor update | Q2 2019 41
Decorative Paints ROS up, driven by strong performance in EMEA € million
Q2 2018
Q2 2019
Δ%
Δ%CC
Revenue
1,006
1,005
-
2%
Adjusted EBITDA
145
177
22%
Adjusted operating income
123
136
11%
Operating income
111
166
50%
ROS%*
12.2%
13.5%
ROI%*
11.8%
12.2%
Revenue development Q2 2019 (%) 2 Increase
2
-4
-2
0
Impact Decorative Paints China
4
Volumes
Price/mix
Decrease
Acquisitions
FX
Total
*ROS% = Adjusted operating income/revenue. ROI% = 12 months adjusted operating income/12 months average invested capital.
Our Dulux Valentine decorative paint brand in France has roared onto the market with a new EasyCare product called Color Resist. The EasyCare range (also known as EasyClean) has now been introduced in 26 countries worldwide, including brands such as Dulux and Marshall. Investor update | Q2 2019 42
Performance Coatings ROS higher: focus on pricing initiatives and cost savings € million
Q2 2018
Q2 2019
Δ%
Δ%CC
Revenue
1,454
1,445
(1%)
-%
Adjusted EBITDA
207
241
16%
Adjusted operating income
172
197
15%
Operating income
162
174
7%
ROS%*
11.8%
13.6%
ROI%*
19.9%
20.6%
Revenue development Q2 2019 (%) 7
-7
7
Volumes
Price/mix
Acquisitions
-1
-1
FX
Total
Increase Decrease
*ROS% = Adjusted operating income/revenue. ROI% = 12 months adjusted operating income/12 months average invested capital.
New York’s historic Hudson Yards development – which is changing the city’s iconic skyline – has reached its latest milestone, and AkzoNobel has made a major contribution.
Investor update | Q2 2019 43
Adjusted EPS increased 85% mainly due to higher operating income Q2 2018 192 (28) 6 170 (47) 123 165 288 (17) 271
Q2 2019 308 (18) 5 295 (69) 226 16 242 (11) 231
Q2 2018 1.06 Q2 2018 0.52
€ million Operating income Net financing expenses Results from associates and joint ventures Profit before tax Income tax Profit from continuing operations Profit from discontinued operations Profit for the period Non-controlling interests Net income from total operations
H1 2018 300 (9) 10 301 (46) 255 307 562 (38) 524
H1 2019 421 (31) 10 400 (100) 300 16 316 (20) 296
Q2 2019 Earnings per share (in €) 1.07 Total operations
H1 2018 2.07
H1 2019 1.32
Q2 2019 Adjusted earnings per share (in €) 0.96 Continuing operations
H1 2018 0.87
H1 2019 1.40
Investor update | Q2 2019 44
Q2 free cash flow improved driven by increased EBITDA Q2 2018 252 (2) (222) (10) (8) (10) 14 1 15 (42) (27)
Q2 2019 397 (66) (116) (1) 7 (15) (57) 3 152 (46) 106
€ million EBITDA Impairment losses Pre-tax results on acquisitions and divestments Changes in working capital Pension top-up payments Other changes in provisions Interest paid Income tax paid Other changes Net cash from operating activities Capital expenditures Free cash flow
Net Debt
*Cash top-up payments for main UK pension plans of €479 million. Excludes pre-funding of escrow account €161 million.
H1 2018 420 (22) (582) (185) (18) (14) (37) (3) (441) (79) (520)
H1 2019 595 33 (66) (537) (479)* (13) (21) (87) 3 (572) (83) (655)
2,887
62
Investor update | Q2 2019 45
Concluding remarks
Investor update | Q2 2019 46
Q2 2019 results show continued progress towards Winning together: 15 by 20 strategy Adjusted operating income 36% higher at €305 million (2018: €225 million)
ROS, excluding unallocated costs, increased to 13.7% (2018: 12.1%) Focus on value over volume resulted in price/mix up 5% and 6% lower volumes Transformation on track and delivered €43 million cost savings
€1.5 billion of €2.5 billion share buyback program completed in H1 2019 Acquisition of Mapaero strengthens global position in aerospace coatings
Our pioneering Paint the Future startup challenge proved to be a huge success, with five business agreements being awarded by AkzoNobel at the accelerator event held in May.
Investor update | Q2 2019 47
Outlook 2020 guidance* ROS 15% ROI >25%
We’re delivering towards our Winning together: 15 by 20 strategy and continue creating a fit-for-purpose organization for a focused paints and coatings company, contributing to the achievement of our 2020 guidance. Demand trends differ per region and segment in an uncertain macro-economic environment. Raw material inflation is expected to stabilize during the second half of this year. Continued pricing initiatives and cost saving programs are in place to address the current challenges. We continue executing our transformation to deliver the next €200 million cost savings by 2020, incurring one-off costs in 2019 and 2020. We target a leverage ratio of between 1.0-2.0 times net debt/EBITDA by the end of 2020 and commit to retain a strong investment grade credit rating. * Excluding unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital: assumes no significant market disruption
Investor update | Q2 2019
48
Upcoming events
Report for the third quarter 2019
October 23, 2019
Report for the full-year and the fourth quarter
February 12, 2020 Investor update | Q2 2019 49
A focused, high performing, paints and coatings company Strong global brands Leading positions in large and attractive markets Balanced geographic exposure: 50% revenue from emerging markets Well positioned to accelerate growth and enhance profitability Transformation plans in place and clear path to deliver Significant returns to shareholders
* Excluding unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital; assumes no significant market disruption
2020 guidance* ROS 15% ROI >25%
Investor update | Q2 2019 50
Disclaimer/forward-looking statements This presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer to sell, or any invitation or other solicitation of any offer, to buy or subscribe for any securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction. Some statements in this presentation are 'forward-looking statements'. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may occur in the future. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are outside of our control and impossible to predict and may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, analyses and projections about the industries in which we operate and management's beliefs and assumptions about possible future events. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which only speak as of the date of this presentation and are neither predictions nor guarantees of possible future events or circumstances. We do not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws. This presentation also contains statements, which address such key issues as AkzoNobel’s growth strategy, future financial results, market positions, product development, products in the pipeline and product approvals. Such statements should be carefully considered, and it should be understood that many factors could cause forecast and actual results to differ from these statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, price fluctuations, currency fluctuations, developments in raw material and personnel costs, pensions, physical and environmental risks, legal issues, and legislative, fiscal, and other regulatory factors. Stated competitive positions are based on management estimates supported by information provided by specialized external agencies. For a more comprehensive discussion of the risk factors affecting our business please see our latest annual report., a copy of which can be found on the company’s corporate website www.akzonobel.com
Investor update | Q2 2019 51
Appendix
Investor update | Q2 2019 52
H1 2019: Profit up 25% and ROS* 11.5% € million
H1 2018
H1 2019
Δ%
Δ%CC
Revenue
4,622
4,636
-%
1%
Adjusted EBITDA
494
642
30%
Adjusted operating income
374
468
25%
Operating income
300
421
40%
10.5%
11.5%
8.1%
10.1%
15.9%
16.5%
ROS% excluding unallocated costs ROS%1 ROI%2 excluding unallocated costs Revenue development H1 2019 (%) 1
-6 -7
1
-1
Price/mix up 5% overall, mainly driven by pricing initiatives Volumes 6% lower due to value over volume strategy ROS, excluding unallocated costs, increased to 11.5%
0
5 Increase Decrease
Volumes
Price/mix
Acquisitions
Other
FX
Total
Impact Decorative Paints China
Note: Other revenue includes service revenue related to services for the Specialty Chemicals business 1ROS% = Adjusted operating income/revenue. 2ROI% = Adjusted operating income of the last 12 months as percentage of average invested capital for Decorative Paints and Performance Coatings. It excludes unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital consistent with our 2020 guidance * Excluding unallocated corporate center costs and invested capital; assumes no significant market disruption
Investor update | Q2 2019 53
H1 2019: Decorative Paints € million
H1 2018
H1 2019
Δ%
Δ%CC
Revenue
1,852
1,849
-
2%
Adjusted EBITDA
224
272
21%
Adjusted operating income
179
196
9%
Operating income
159
220
38%
ROS%*
9.7%
10.6%
ROI%*
11.8%
12.2%
Increase
-5
2
-2
Volumes
Price/mix
Decrease Impact Decorative Paints China
5
Acquisitions
FX
Continued focus on pricing initiatives contributed to positive price/mix of 5%, while volumes were lower Acquisitions contributed 2% to revenues
Adjusted operating income increased to €196 million (2018: €179 million)
Revenue development H1 2019 (%)
0
Revenue flat and up 2% in constant currencies
Continued pricing initiatives and cost savings offset higher raw material costs and lower volumes, resulting in ROS of 10.6% (2018: 9.7%)
Total
*ROS% = Adjusted operating income/revenue. ROI% = 12 months adjusted operating income/12 months average invested capital.
Investor update | Q2 2019 54
H1 2019: Performance Coatings € million
H1 2018
H1 2019
Δ%
Δ%CC
Revenue
2,796
2,784
-
(1%)
Adjusted EBITDA
376
423
13%
Adjusted operating income
306
335
9%
Operating income
283
271
-4%
ROS%*
10.9%
12.0%
ROI%*
19.9%
20.6%
Revenue development H1 2019 (%)
-7
6
Volumes
Price/mix
Acquisitions
1
0
FX
Total
Revenue flat, and 1% lower in constant currencies
Price/mix was more than offset by lower volumes Adjusted operating income increased to €335 million (2018: €306 million) as pricing initiatives and cost control more than compensated for higher raw material costs and lower volumes
Increase Decrease
*ROS% = Adjusted operating income/revenue. ROI% = 12 months adjusted operating income/12 months average invested capital.
Investor update | Q2 2019 55
IFRS 16 has limited impact; adopting the modified retrospective approach Second quarter Before IFRS16
Impact
January - June
including € million IFRS 16
before IFRS16
Impact
including IFRS 16
€ million
367
27
394
Adjusted EBITDA
588
54
642
Intangible assets
370
27
397
EBITDA
541
54
595
Property, plant and equipment
(63)
(26)
(89)
(123)
(51)
(174)
304
1
305
465
3
468
307
1
308
Depreciation/amortization Adjusted operating income Operating income
418
3
421
(17)
(1)
(18)
Net financing expense
(28)
(3)
(31)
215
-
215
280
-
280
125
27
152
(626)
54
(572)
(1,507)
(27)
(1,534)
(4,835)
(54)
(4,889)
12.4%
-
12.4%
Net income Net cash from operating activities Net cash from financing activities ROS%
10.0%
0.1%
10.1%
Restated As Restatement opening reported at due to balance at December adoption January 1, 31, 2018 IFRS 16 2019 3,458 (35) 3,423 1,748
(30)
1,718
-
420
420
Other financial non-current assets
1,965
-
1,965
Current assets
11,613
-
11,613
Total assets
18,784
355
19,139
Group equity
12,038
-
12,038
Non-current liabilities
3,066
264
3,330
Current liabilities
3,680
91
3,771
Total liabilities
18,784
355
19,139
Right-use-of asset
Investor update | Q2 2019 56
IAS19 pension surplus following cash top-up payments Key pension financial assumptions
Q1 2019
Q2 2019
Discount rate
2.3%
2.1%
Inflation rate
3.1%
3.1%
€ million 1,200
Increase Decrease
1,000
1
800
- 240
- 24
229
-
66
600 400
-
899
799
200 0 Q1 2019
Top-ups
Discount rates on DBO
Inflation on DBO
Asset return over P&L
Other
Surplus end Q2 2019
Investor update | Q2 2019 57
Cash top-up payments of main UK plans settled (Q1 2019) IAS19 pension surplus of €0.4 billion, following sale of Specialty Chemicals
Negotiations on triennial review of UK defined benefit pension schemes concluded (February 2019) Cash top-ups updated for actual payments 2018 and future payment schedule Estimated cash top-ups € million
Updated 630 Cash Cash to escrow account
470 297
2016
275
2017
187
158
2018
2019 E
10
2020 E
30
2021 E
10
10
10
2022 E
2023 E
2024 E
Relate mainly to two UK plans: ICI Pension Fund and the Akzo Nobel (CPS) Pension Scheme Investor update | Q1 2019 58
€6.5 billion return to shareholders to be completed before end 2019 Apr 19, 2017
Dec 7, 2017
Oct 1, 2018
Jan 22, 2019
Before end 2019
Announced separation of Specialty Chemicals business within 12 months
Advance proceeds of separation paid as special dividend of €1 billion (€4/share)
Closed sale of Specialty Chemicals to The Carlyle Group and GIC
€2 billion capital repayment and share consolidation
€2.5 billion share buyback program
Nov 30, 2017
Mar 27, 2018
Nov 13, 2018
Feb 25, 2019
EGM to approve separation of Specialty Chemicals
Announced sale of Specialty Chemicals for €10.1 billion to The Carlyle Group and GIC
EGM to approve capital repayment and share consolidation
€1 billion special cash dividend
Investor update | Q2 2019 59
Breakdown of total raw material spend 2018 (%) Titanium dioxide
12
Specialty resins
Additives
16
14
Commodity resins
19 10 Solvents
7
11 Pigments and colorants
11 Latex and monomers
Packaging
Investor update | Q1 2019 60
Disclaimer/ forward-looking statements This presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer to sell, or any invitation or other solicitation of any offer, to buy or subscribe for any securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction. Some statements in this presentation are 'forward-looking statements'. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may occur in the future. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are outside of our control and impossible to predict and may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, analyses and projections about the industries in which we operate and management's beliefs and assumptions about possible future events. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which only speak as of the date of this presentation and are neither predictions nor guarantees of possible future events or circumstances. We do not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws. This presentation also contains statements, which address such key issues as AkzoNobel’s growth strategy, future financial results, market positions, product development, products in the pipeline and product approvals. Such statements should be carefully considered, and it should be understood that many factors could cause forecast and actual results to differ from these statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, price fluctuations, currency fluctuations, developments in raw material and personnel costs, pensions, physical and environmental risks, legal issues, and legislative, fiscal, and other regulatory measures as well as the sale of the Specialty Chemicals business. State competitive positions are based on management estimates supported by information provided by specialized external agencies. For a mor comprehensive discussion of the risk factors affecting our business please see our latest annual report., a copy of which can be found on the company’s corporate website www.akzonobel.com
Investor update | Q1 2019 61